Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 18.264678 21.153673 24.284692 27.921713 32.021494 36.490919 41.722830
2025-08-10 13.082020 16.980831 21.622611 27.515231 34.751341 43.299219 54.108179
2025-08-17 9.899878 14.098579 19.488246 26.822160 36.436262 48.494149 64.626514
2025-08-24 7.729760 11.934281 17.692523 26.000415 37.496185 52.633160 73.820192
2025-08-31 6.075022 10.106414 15.963945 24.871053 37.798313 55.556192 81.393760
2025-09-07 5.249040 9.313537 15.525151 25.397568 40.304135 61.503091 93.330799
2025-09-14 4.560929 8.599713 15.070246 25.781776 42.548463 67.148532 105.131243
2025-09-21 3.844134 7.705598 14.190107 25.364080 43.478467 70.866823 114.300528
2025-09-28 3.221111 6.859959 13.259118 24.722607 43.940276 73.836426 122.453897
2025-10-05 3.073010 6.856939 13.749664 26.464626 48.321565 83.049295 140.578870
2025-10-12 2.870597 6.713224 13.963532 27.731982 51.989876 91.334391 157.692113
2025-10-19 2.649266 6.493246 14.003620 28.678493 55.161293 98.979252 174.169258
2025-10-26 2.328678 6.043892 13.615714 28.924797 57.350679 105.501889 189.816852
2025-11-02 1.962594 5.431081 12.838775 28.387303 58.164223 109.895540 202.460314
2025-11-09 1.638368 4.842197 12.017552 27.654507 58.533734 113.531492 214.043752
2025-11-16 1.359551 4.296656 11.197036 26.807060 58.578677 116.557618 224.714062
2025-11-23 1.106821 3.753210 10.287428 25.646694 57.882039 118.164610 232.950265
2025-11-30 0.996503 3.572020 10.182534 26.187272 60.574128 126.084999 252.771789
2025-12-07 0.891686 3.380882 10.022713 26.581777 62.990119 133.622916 272.287946
2025-12-14 0.760918 3.075752 9.528827 26.152860 63.650190 137.863455 285.980417
2025-12-21 0.639950 2.766294 8.969132 25.494109 63.748713 141.002712 297.762645
2025-12-28 0.628378 2.825565 9.406752 27.282909 69.286303 155.091829 330.849085
2026-01-04 0.598055 2.811068 9.637960 28.584037 73.837838 167.457053 361.201722